By Klepac P, Hsieh JL, Ducker CL, Assoum M, Booth M, Byrne B, Dodson S, Martin DL, Turner CMR, van Daalen KR, Abela B, Akamboe J, Alves F, Brooker SJ, Ciceri-Reynolds K, Cole J, Desjardins A, Drakeley C, Ediriweera DS, Ferguson NM, Francesco Gabrielli A, Gahir J, Jain S, John MR, Juma E, Kanayson P, Deribe K, King JD, Kipingu AM, Kiware S, Kolaczinski J, Kulei WJ, Laizer TL, Lal V, Lowe R, Maige JS, Mayer S, McIver L, Mosser JF, Santiago Nicholls R, Nunes-Alves C, Panjwani J, Parameswaran N, Polson K, Radoykova H-S, Ramani A, Reimer LJ, Reynolds ZM, Ribeiro I, Robb A, Hizbullah Sanikullah K, Smith DRM, Shirima GSG, Shott JP, Tidman R, Tribe L, Turner J, Vaz Nery S, Velayudhan R, Warusavithana S, Wheeler HS, Yajima A, Robleh Abdilleh A, Hounkpatin B, Wangmo D, Whitty CJM, Campbell-Lendrum D, Hollingsworth TD, Solomon AW, Socé Fall I. Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 2024, trae026. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/trae026
Summary: Understanding the likely effects of climate change on the epidemiology of malaria and neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) is critical to minimising their impact on health. The authors of this scoping review explored the predicted effects of climate change on malaria and 20 NTDs, and potential strategies to ameliorate these effects, in papers published between January 2010 and October 2023. 511 papers met their inclusion criteria, 185 studied malaria, 181 dengue and chikungunya, and 53 leishmaniasis; other NTDs were relatively understudied. 174 papers considered mitigation and 24 considered adaption strategies. The overall impact of climate change on these diseases cannot be confidently predicted with currently available analyses; this would require comprehensive, collaborative, and standardised modelling efforts.
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